Sunday, August 12, 2007

Report: New NIE will say Iraq in mature civil war, warns of coordinated attack on troops before September report

Above: Soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division react after receiving fire on a mission in Ambekiyah in July.

The Bush administration is finishing a National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq that paints a sobering picture of a mature civil war unlikely to be snuffed out through political progress, according to officials involved in the report’s preparation.

A late draft of the document warns of the possibility of a spectacular attack in conjunction with a crucial mid-September assessment by Gen. David Petraeus, the U.S. commander in Iraq, and Ryan Crocker, the U.S. ambassador in Iraq.

With the Petraeus-Crocker report looming, some administration officials say they fear a coordinated onslaught like the Tet offensive, a surprise country-wide series of attacks that produced a psychological victory for Vietnamese Communists in 1968.

Read the rest at the Politico

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